据新加坡《联合早报》网站10月21日报道，国际投行摩根大通和瑞银21日双双调高中国今年经济增长预测至4.8%，原因是第三季度增长超出预期。《香港经济日报》网站21日引述摩根大通中国首席经济学家兼大中华区经济研究主管朱海斌的话报道说，中国经济动力在第三季度末有所增强，9月的国内活动指标普遍高于市场预期。其中，工业产值和零售销售出现显著上行，表明最近汽车和家电以旧换新，以及支持企业部门设备升级的政策见效。朱海斌说，第四季度剩余的财政资源似乎比该行预期的要大，加上地方政府专项债券资金的后续部署，使该行上调第四季度增长预测。香港《明报》网站也引述瑞银亚洲经济研究主管及首席中国经济学家汪涛的分析，指出鉴于第三季度年增速强于预期，加上近期官方推出的一系列政策支持，预计第四季度GDP环比增速有望上行至6.5%（季调后环比折年增长率）。中国官方18日公布，今年第三季度中国经济同比增长4.6%，高于路透社和彭博社预测的4.5%。
【责任编辑：谢露莹】
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